01.05.2008 23:02:00
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St. Mary Provides Operations and Guidance Update
St. Mary Land & Exploration Company (NYSE: SM) today provides an update
of the Company’s significant operations and
financial guidance.
During the first quarter of 2008, St. Mary participated in the
completion of over 120 drilling and recompletion projects, not including
coalbed methane operations. The Company had between 13 and 15 rigs
operating throughout the quarter. The Company also invested
approximately $53 million in the acquisition of proved and unproved oil
and natural gas properties, the majority of which relates to Cotton
Valley drilling inventory in East Texas. Operations for 2008 are
proceeding on or ahead of plan. During the quarter the Company made
progress in several key plays that are expected to generate further
growth opportunities.
MANAGEMENT COMMENTS
Tony Best, President and CEO, commented, "I am
pleased with the growth and performance of our inventory. The Woodford
shale in the Arkoma Basin, the Cotton Valley sand and Haynesville shale
plays in the ArkLaTex, and the North Dakota Bakken are some of the most
active and exciting areas in the oil and gas industry currently, and St.
Mary has meaningful exposure to all of them. Our operating teams are
doing a great job managing our current assets, as demonstrated by lower
per unit LOE in the first quarter and our increase to production
guidance for the full year. We continue to focus on expanding our
inventory and executing on our business plan –
we are off to a great start this year and I believe the outlook for the
remainder of the year is bright.” HORIZONTAL WOODFORD PROGRAM UPDATE
In the Woodford Shale, St. Mary continues to see positive results in the
play. Well results are improving and the Company’s
costs to drill and complete operated wells are better than the costs of
industry peers. The average estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) for the
last 10 operated wells with meaningful production data is 2.7 BCFE to
3.0 BCFE. On the cost front, the Company’s
three most recent wells were drilled and completed for between $4.0 and
$4.4 million per well. These wells had laterals approximately 3,600 feet
in length and utilized the multistage fracture stimulations that are
common throughout the play. During the quarter, the Company announced
that it was increasing budgeted capital investment in the Woodford shale
by $20 million dollars, which allows for two rigs to run continuously
throughout the year with a third rig operating periodically.
ARKLATEX REGION UPDATE
St. Mary continues to be active in its operated Cotton Valley program at
Carthage Field in East Texas. The Company’s
second horizontal well in the program is currently drilling and targets
the Taylor sand of the Cotton Valley formation. The first horizontal
well drilled by St. Mary, the Boise Southern 1-H (SM 98% WI), has
averaged 4.0 MMCF per day with minimal decline for the last month. As
previously announced, St. Mary expects to drill 6 horizontal and 14
vertical wells at Carthage Field through the rest of the year utilizing
a multi-rig program. The Company plans to drill its first well on
acreage from the previously announced bolt-on acquisition in the
Carthage area in the second quarter. St. Mary also continues to see
encouraging results from its participation in both horizontal and
vertical drilling and recompletion activities at Elm Grove Field in
Bossier Parish, Louisiana.
Several operators have made comments recently regarding the potential of
the Haynesville shale. Most of those operators have discussed an area in
northern Louisiana centered in Caddo, De Soto, and Bossier Parishes. St.
Mary has previously disclosed that it owns roughly 10,000 net acres in
this general area. After conducting a more thorough review of its
acreage position, the Company has determined that it is exposed to
roughly 50,000 net acres with Haynesville shale potential throughout the
broader ArkLaTex region.
NORTH DAKOTA BAKKEN ACTIVITY
St. Mary announces that it has permitted 22 wells in the North Dakota
Bakken play, including 21 wells in the Powers Lake prospect area that
straddles Mountrail and Burke Counties in North Dakota. St. Mary has
increased its leasehold in the North Dakota Bakken to approximately
37,000 net acres. Activity in the play has been moving toward the Company’s
land position and drilling activity is underway around our acreage. The
Company plans to drill two to three wells in the second half of 2008.
CAPITAL INVESTMENT UPDATE
The Company’s current capital investment
budget by region for exploration and development activities is as
follows:
Exploration &Development Capital
($ in millions)
ArkLaTex
$161
Mid-Continent
155
Permian
132
Rocky Mountain
130
Gulf Coast
83
TOTAL
$661
The budget above includes an additional $20 million in the Mid-Continent
region for increased drilling in the horizontal Woodford shale in the
Arkoma Basin, as well as additional capital for testing of the Pearsall
shale in South Texas and additional leasehold in West Texas.
PERFORMANCE GUIDANCE UPDATE
The Company’s guidance for the second quarter
and the full year of 2008 is as follows:
2nd Quarter
Full Year
Oil and gas production
26.0 - 27.0 Bcfe
108.5 - 112.5 Bcfe
Lease operating expenses
$1.44 - $1.48/Mcfe
$1.40 - $1.45/Mcfe
Production taxes
$0.87 - $0.91/Mcfe
$0.84 - $0.88/Mcfe
General and administrative expense
$0.79 - $0.83/Mcfe
$0.80 - $0.84/Mcfe
Depreciation, depletion & amort.
$2.49 - $2.54/Mcfe
$2.53 - $2.58/Mcfe
Production – The increase in
oil and gas production guidance for the full year is due to the planned
increase in capital investment in the horizontal Woodford shale program,
the previously announced bolt-on acquisitions in the Carthage Field in
East Texas, and increased production from recently completed wells on
our fee lands in South Louisiana and offshore Gulf Coast. Offsetting
these increases to the production forecast are reductions totaling
approximately 1.0 BCFE related to minor divestitures in the Rocky
Mountain and Gulf Coast regions that will impact the remainder of 2008.
There are no presumed production volumes from future acquisitions
included in the guidance above.
Lease operating expenses – St.
Mary is leaving full year lease operating expense guidance unchanged.
The previously disclosed divestiture of non-core properties in January
of 2008 removed a number of properties that had higher operating and
reworking cost structures than the remaining assets in the portfolio.
Management believes that it will continue to see benefits to St. Mary’s
cost structure as a result of this divestiture through 2008. Management
also recognizes that there are a number of upward pressures to operating
costs resulting from strong commodity prices and increased activity in
the industry that could drive costs to the upper end of the guidance
range.
General and administrative expense –
The increase in general and administrative expense is the result of
forecasted increases in expenditures that are strongly linked to
profitability and commodity prices. There also continues to be upward
pressure on compensation related costs as a result of the highly
competitive state of the industry.
Recognition of general and administrative expense will be weighted more
heavily to the second half of 2008 as a result of timing changes related
to the Company’s previously announced
long-term Performance Share Plan. Based on the expected timing of the
initial awards, the expense will begin to be recognized in the second
half of 2008 as opposed to being recognized over the full year as was
initially forecasted.
Income Taxes – Realized and
forecasted commodity prices are higher currently than when the Company’s
initial financial guidance was issued on January 31, 2008. As a result
of these higher prices, St. Mary now expects cash taxes will comprise
between 25% and 30% of income tax expense for the remainder of the year.
The Company estimates that its effective tax rate will be between 36%
and 37% for the remainder of 2008.
Hedging Update – Below
is an updated summary hedging schedule for the Company. All the prices
in the table below have been converted to a NYMEX equivalent for ease of
comparison using current quality and transportation differentials. The
majority of the oil trades are settled against NYMEX. The gas contracts
have been executed to settle against regional delivery points that
correspond with the Company’s production
areas, thereby reducing basis risk. For detailed schedules on the Company’s
hedging program, please refer to the Form 10-Q for the period ended
March 31, 2008, which is expected to be filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission on or about May 2, 2008.
Oil Swaps - NYMEX Equivalent
Oil Collars - NYMEX Equivalent
Floor
Ceiling
Bbls $/Bbl Bbls $/Bbl $/Bbl 2008 2008
Q2
546,000
$ 72.01
Q2
498,000
$ 57.08
$ 77.27
Q3
526,000
$ 72.19
Q3
514,000
$ 57.86
$ 78.08
Q4
466,000
$ 71.83
Q4
519,000
$ 58.19
$ 78.43
2009
1,570,000
$ 71.64
2009
1,526,000
$ 50.00
$ 67.31
2010
1,239,000
$ 66.47
2010
1,367,500
$ 50.00
$ 64.91
2011
1,032,000
$ 65.36
2011
1,236,000
$ 50.00
$ 63.70
Natural Gas Swaps - NYMEX Equivalent Natural Gas Collars - NYMEX Equivalent
Floor
Ceiling
MMBTU $/MMBTU MMBTU $/MMBTU $/MMBTU 2008 2008
Q2
3,470,000
$ 8.55
Q2
1,820,000
$ 7.68
$ 10.83
Q3
5,230,000
$ 8.96
Q3
3,737,500
$ 8.49
$ 11.18
Q4
5,810,000
$ 9.72
Q4
3,957,500
$ 8.83
$ 11.46
2009
19,930,000
$ 9.14
2009
9,110,000
$ 6.86
$ 10.86
2010
8,370,000
$ 8.50
2010
7,825,000
$ 6.52
$ 8.81
2011
1,200,000
$ 7.68
2011
6,625,000
$ 6.21
$ 7.45
Natural Gas Liquid Swaps - Mont. Belvieu
Bbls $/Bbl 2008
Q2
170,738
$ 39.53
Q3
194,694
$ 39.28
Q4
219,004
$ 38.73
2009
638,159
$ 38.77
2010
8,021
$ 45.60
2011
1,129
$ 45.15
INFORMATION ABOUT FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This release contains forward looking statements within the meaning of
securities laws, including forecasts and projections. The words "will,” "believe,” ”budget,” "anticipate,” "intend,” "estimate,” "forecast,” ”plan,” and "expect”
and similar expressions are intended to identify forward looking
statements. These statements involve known and unknown risks, which may
cause St. Mary’s actual results to differ
materially from results expressed or implied by the forward looking
statements. These risks include such factors as the volatility and level
of oil and natural gas prices, the uncertain nature of the expected
benefits from the acquisition and divestiture of oil and gas properties,
uncertainties inherent in projecting future rates of production from
drilling activities and acquisitions, the potential effects of increased
levels of debt financing, the imprecise nature of estimating oil and gas
reserves, the availability of additional economically attractive
exploration, development, and property acquisition opportunities for
future growth and any necessary financings, unexpected drilling
conditions and results, unsuccessful exploration and development
drilling, drilling and operating service availability, the risks
associated with our hedging strategy, and other such matters discussed
in the "Risk Factors”
section of St. Mary’s 2007 Annual Report on
Form 10-K/A filed with the SEC. Although St. Mary may from time to time
voluntarily update its prior forward looking statements, it disclaims
any commitment to do so except as required by securities laws.
INFORMATION ABOUT RESERVES AND RESOURCES
The SEC permits oil and gas companies to disclose in their filings with
the SEC only proved reserves, which are reserve estimates that
geological and engineering data demonstrate with reasonable certainty to
be recoverable in future years from known reservoirs under existing
economic and operating conditions. St. Mary uses in this press release
the term "EUR”
(estimated ultimate recovery), which SEC guidelines prohibit from being
included in filings with the SEC. EUR means those quantities of
petroleum which are estimated to be potentially recoverable from an
accumulation, plus those quantities already produced therefrom.
Estimates of unproved reserves which may potentially be recoverable
through additional drilling or recovery techniques are by their nature
more uncertain than estimates of proved reserves and accordingly are
subject to substantially greater risk of not actually being realized by
the Company. In addition, our production forecasts and expectations for
future periods are dependent upon many assumptions, including estimates
of production decline rates from existing wells and the undertaking and
outcome of future drilling activity, which may be affected by
significant commodity price declines or drilling cost increases.
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