03.08.2017 12:00:40
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Original-Research: Rock Tech Lithium Inc (von GBC AG): Buy
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Original-Research: Rock Tech Lithium Inc - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Rock Tech Lithium Inc
Unternehmen: Rock Tech Lithium Inc
ISIN: CA77273P2017
Anlass der Studie: Research Report (Initial Coverage)
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 1.47 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
The current environment for Rock Tech is very promising. Decreasing
lithium-ion battery prices, higher ranges, stricter environmental laws,
increasing quotas for the sale of electric vehicles and government
subsidies are increasing the demand for electric vehicles, and thereby also
lithium, as large quantities of this metal are used in electric vehicle
components. The market for electric vehicles is a relatively young market
and has recently shown dynamic growth. We expect that the electric vehicle
market will continue its strong growth in the future and secure a
significant market share in the overall automobile market in the long term.
Against this background, we expect very strong lithium demand from the
automobile market in the long term.
However, the demand for lithium is not only influenced by the automobile
market. Other new markets, such as the e-bikes market and the fixed energy
storage market require larger quantities of lithium for batteries. These
markets are also proven growth markets that have performed extremely strong
in recent years. We also expect continued significant growth for these
markets in the long term, which should, in parallel, also reflect in strong
demand for lithium. These new markets will therefore, in our view, provide
added impetus for lithium demand.
The increasing demand for lithium is also reflected in the market price for
lithium carbonate (the most used type of lithium). The price has exploded
between 2014 and today increasing by almost 200% to around USD 14,000/
tonne. Due to the continuing increase in demand for lithium from various
sectors and a continuing limited supply of lithium, we expect the lithium
price to remain at a very high level over the long term.
Given this excellent environment, Rock Tech has made the necessary
preparations to benefit from this strong trend. The lithium deposits at
Georgia Lake, purchased in 2009, have been further developed. The
historical resource estimates were converted to NI-43-101-compliant
resource estimates and confirmed. In addition, intensive exploration work
started at the end of 2016 in order to significantly expand the current
resource base. Also, additional commodities asset purchases are planned in
order to further extend the current resource base.
Rock Tech's core business is to further develop promising commodity assets
(in particular in lithium) that are still at an early stage, acquire them
and promote them further. The primary aim is not to mine commodities
itself, although it can be an option in individual cases, in order to
achieve the best shareholder return.
Based on the current 9.5 million tonnes in NI-compliant lithium resources
and the excellent framework conditions (e-mobility megatrend, strong
lithium price increase), according to our DCF model, we regard the current
fair value of Rock Tech Lithium Inc. to be CAD 2.15 or EUR 1.47. Based on
the current share price (1.10 CAD/0.77 EUR), this results in a high price
potential and therefore BUY rating. We believe even that Rock Tech has good
opportunities for expanding its NI-compliant resource base within the next
12 months and this could further enhance the value of the company.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/15473.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Jörg Grunwald
Vorstand
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach §34b Abs. 1 WpHG und FinAnV Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung.htm
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