07.04.2008 15:20:00
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Amtrak On-time Performance: CRA International Performs Key Economic Analyses Behind US Department Of Transportation Report to Congress
CRA International, Inc. (Nasdaq: CRAI), a worldwide leader in providing
management, economic, and financial consulting services, today announced
its role in providing key economic analyses in a report to Congress
published March 28, 2008 by the US Department of Transportation Office
of Inspector General (DoTOIG). The report found that Amtrak’s
poor on-time performance significantly undermines the viability of
intercity passenger rail as an option for travelers and also weakens
Amtrak’s financial position by reducing its
revenues and increasing its operating costs. Under its contract with
DoTOIG, CRA developed econometric models and analytic methodologies to
estimate the revenues lost to Amtrak as a result of trains not staying
on schedule. This work was performed by a team of transportation
business consultants and competition economists in CRA’s
Boston office.
CRA’s analysis focused on Amtrak’s
long- and medium-distance routes outside the Northeast Corridor. Amtrak
considers a train to be on-time if it arrives at its destination less
than a prescribed number of minutes after its scheduled arrival (the
specific thresholds vary depending on the end-to-end route length). In
fiscal year 2006, average on-time performance across Amtrak’s
long-distance and medium-distance routes (excluding the Northeast
Corridor) was 30% and 67%, respectively. For these routes, CRA found
that significant improvements in on-time performance could lead to
substantial increases in ridership and revenue. For example, if Amtrak
had attained on-time performance values of 75%, 85%, or 100% in fiscal
2006, it could have increased its actual annual revenues by $91 million
(15.4%), $111 million (18.9%), or $143 million (24.3%), respectively.
"This is a good example of how applied
economics can make essential contributions to complex business and
public policy questions,” said James C.
Burrows, CRA’s President and Chief Executive
Officer. "The transportation sector is rife
with questions like the ones addressed in our work on Amtrak’s
on-time performance. It perfectly illustrates the strengths of CRA’s
capabilities in transportation consulting, operations analysis, and
econometrics.”
The CRA team that performed the work was led by Daniel Brand, Senior
Consultant; Peter Boberg, Vice President; Masroor Hasan, Associate
Principal; and Lucile Guillaud, Consulting Associate. The team also
included: Jon Bottom, Mark Kiefer, and Andrew Desautels.
About CRA International’s Transportation
Practice
CRA has long been a leader and innovator in the application of economic
tools and concepts to the solution of complex transportation problems.
In the area of transportation, CRA helps clients: forecast revenue and
estimate market potential; understand the economic impacts of their
business; develop strategies for pricing and service design; create
value through strategic acquisitions; protect and maximize the value of
their intellectual property; and develop intercompany pricing strategies
to maximize profitability. CRA has helped shape national and
international debates around transportation policy and competition and
environmental policies affecting transportation-related industries. CRA
is known as a leader in forecasting the market potential of proposed new
transportation technologies and the revenue impacts of changes in
existing transportation infrastructure.
About CRA International
Founded in 1965, CRA International is a leading provider of management
consulting services and economic and financial expertise. Working with
businesses, law firms, accounting firms, and governments, CRA is a
preferred consulting firm for complex assignments with pivotal and
high-stakes outcomes. The firm is distinguished by a unique combination
of credentials: deep vertical experience in a variety of industries;
broad horizontal expertise in a range of functional disciplines; and
rigorous economic, financial, and market analysis. CRA offers a proven
track record of thousands of successful engagements in regulatory and
litigation support, business strategy and planning, market and demand
forecasting, policy analysis, and engineering and technology management.
Headquartered in Boston, the firm has sixteen offices within the United
States, and seven offices in Canada, Europe, the Middle East, and the
Asia Pacific region. Detailed information about CRA is available at www.crai.com.
Statements in this press release concerning the expected use of CRA’s
expertise, the future business, operating results, and financial
condition of the Company and statements using the terms "anticipates,” "believes,” "expects,” "should,” or
similar expressions, are "forward-looking”
statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
1995. These statements are based upon management's current
expectations and are subject to a number of factors and uncertainties.
Information contained in these forward-looking statements is inherently
uncertain and actual performance and results may differ materially due
to many important factors. Such factors that could cause actual results
to differ materially from any forward-looking statements made by the
Company include, among others, the Company’s
restructuring costs and attributable annual cost savings, changes in the
Company’s effective tax rate, share dilution
from the Company’s convertible debt offering
and stock options, dependence on key personnel, attracting and retaining
qualified consultants, dependence on outside experts, utilization rates,
factors related to its recent acquisitions, including integration of
personnel, clients, offices, and unanticipated expenses and liabilities,
risks associated with acquisitions it may make in the future, risks
inherent in international operations, the performance of NeuCo, changes
in accounting standards, rules and regulations, changes in the law that
affect its practice areas, management of new offices, the potential loss
of clients, dependence on growth of the Company’s
business consulting practice, the unpredictable nature of
litigation-related projects, the ability of the Company to integrate
successfully new consultants into its practice, intense competition,
risks inherent in litigation, and professional liability. Further
information on these and other potential factors that could affect the
Company’s financial results is included in
the Company’s filings with the Securities and
Exchange Commission. The Company cannot guarantee any future results,
levels of activity, performance or achievement. The Company undertakes
no obligation to update any of its forward-looking statements after the
date of this press release.
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